America's population will peak at 364 million in 42 years before shrinking 10%
The US population will grow until 2062, then shrink - alongside 182 other countries around the world - to 336 million by 2100, a new study predicts.
Fertility rates in the US and abroad have been declining and are expected to continue to do so for decades to come, driving the number of people in many nations down for the next 80 years, according to the new research from the University of Washington’s Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME).
Women are having fewer children as more widespread gender equality allows them to pursue educations, and careers and improved access to contraception - shifts that delay the age at which women start to have children and the limiting the number of kids they ultimately give birth to.
By 2100, the authors of the new study, published in The Lancet, predict the average American woman will have just 1.5 children, 17.7 percent lower than 2017’s fertility rate of 1.8 children per woman. These falling birth rates are expected to drive the US population down from its 2062 peak of 364 million to 336 million by 2100.
Coupled with aging populations, declining fertility could shrink the populations of 23 countries - including Japan, Thailand, Italy and Spain.
The result will be a global population that shrinks from a peak of 9.7 billion to 8.8billion by 2100.
Meanwhile, the American life expectancy is continuing to extend, according to new research from Harvard University’s TH Chan School of Public Health, meaning that more people will ...
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